How high is D.C.’s violent crime rate? After President Trump federalized the D.C. police force, Democrats argued that crime in D.C. wasn’t serious enough to justify the move and that nothing needed to change. Because Democrats also want to make D.C. the 51st state, it’s worth comparing the District’s crime rate with both the states and other major cities.
D.C.’s crime rate is severe. In one piece I published at The Federalist, I showed that D.C.’s murder rate is 169% higher than the most dangerous state and 523% higher than the average state. In another article at Real Clear Politics, I explained why Trump’s actions will likely reduce D.C.’s crime. The data makes clear why D.C. police feel stretched so thin and why restrictions on their authority make the job harder. Even when police arrest criminals, prosecutors rarely pursue charges, and punishment is even less likely to follow.
Steve Bannon’s War Room hosted me four times in the past couple of weeks to discuss the president’s federalization of police (here, here, here, and here). I also joined Sean Spicer’s podcast, along with the national radio shows hosted by Hugh Hewitt and Wilkow Majority, to debate D.C.’s crime problem. Karoline Leavitt, who has 1.5 million followers on X, amplified my work twice—once by tweeting my article at The Federalist and again by highlighting my Real Clear Politics op-ed.
These discussions all rest on the assumption that reported crime data is accurate. Yet police officers accuse the District of routinely downgrading crimes so they don’t appear in the statistics. Despite D.C. politicians’ denials, officers insist the manipulation isn’t limited to one precinct. A more detailed breakdown of the crime data is available here.
Before leaving this discussion, it is hard to ignore that the gun control groups, like the Brady Campaign, don’t want law enforcement to protect people at the same time they don’t want people to be able to protect themselves. And I would like to claim some credit for the behind the scenes maneuvering in the White House that cut the time for getting a concealed handgun permit in D.C. from over six months to two weeks. I wish that I could go into details, but I will just say that I have a very good contact in the White House.
This past Monday, President Trump promised “I am going to lead a movement to get rid of MAIL-IN BALLOTS.” Another op-ed at Real Clear Politics explains why his concerns are correct.
We just completed our review of errors in the FBI’s annual active shooting report. We posted a list of cases the FBI ignored where armed civilians stopped attacks, and we will soon release our full report showing how these omissions distort the FBI’s overall numbers. The 2024 data leaves out even more cases than usual.
My work on the biases of AI chatbots on gun control was discussed on John Solomon Reports and Iowa’s Simon Conway Show.
The failure of gun control and gun-free zones contributed to the mass public shootings in New York City and Fort Stewart continued to spark debate, with interviews on Oklahoma’s KQOB, Las Vegas’ KMZQ, and the national Armed American Radio show.
Our research has also gotten extensive news coverage over the last two weeks at NewsMax, the Washington Examiner, and numerous other places.
Regarding stories of defensive gun use, here is an instance of a woman shooting a man who had repeatedly abused and beaten her to protect herself and her children. As the police office in the video says, the woman “had no other choice but to defend herself and that is why people have guns.” We have updated our list of defensive gun uses by people legally carrying concealed handguns for January 2025.
If you haven’t already seen it, please watch our new video with John Stossel, which covers our new research showing errors in the FBI’s active shooting reports.
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Research
UPDATED: Cases where armed citizens have stopped active shooter incidents How
Does D.C.’s Crime Rates Compare to the Rest of the U.S.? Comparing D.C. to the States and Puerto Rico? D.C.’s Crime Rate is Remarkably High. With Murder and Robbery being Particularly High. D.C.’s Murder Rate is 50% Higher than the Highest of the 20 Most Populous Cities.
Interracial Violent Crime. Blacks committed violent crime against whites 9.2 times more than the reverse. Blacks committed violent crime against Asians 88.9 times more than the reverse. .
Op-eds
At Real Clear Politics (and 13 other outlets): Trump Admin Efforts Could Sharply Reduce DC Crime
At The Federalist: D.C.’s Murder Rate Is More Than 500% Higher Than The Average State
At Real Clear Politics: Mail-In Ballots Need To Go
Recent Talks
Talk in Buenos Aires – Mitos sobre el control de armas – Mas armas menos Crimen, English: Myths about gun control – More guns, less crime
Talk: Gun Control Myths
Political Biases in the FBI’s Crime Data
Dr. Lott participates in Press Briefing with Hundreds of Reporters on the Border Crisis and Crime
Dr. Lott participates in Press Briefing with Over 30 Reporters on How Crime is Increasing and Law Enforcement is Collapsing
Did Crime Decline under Biden?: Talk at G.O.A.L.S. 2024 in Knoxville, TN .
Television/Podcast interviews
On Bannon’s War Room: To Discuss Trump Federalizing Law Enforcement in D.C.
On The Sean Spicer Show: Is Washington D.C. Dangerous & Crime Ridden?
On Bannon’s War Room: To Discuss An Idea on How to Audit the Nonprofits that Received Federal Government Grants and the Manipulation of D.C. Crime Data
On Bannon’s War Room: To Discuss Crimes in Washington D.C.
On Bannon’s War Room: To Discuss DC Crime and Trump’s Tariffs .
Radio interviews/Podcasts
On WMT/WHO’s The Simon Conway Show: To Discuss AI Chatbots’ Political Biases
On Frontline with Dustin Faulkner: Woke City Mobs and Active Shooters Increase in Lawless Cities
On John Solomon Reports: The Deterrent Effect of the Death Penalty, Evidence on Crime by Illegal Aliens, and AI Chatbots’ Political Biases
On The Wilkow Majority: To Discuss Crime in DC
On The Hugh Hewitt Show: To Discuss DC Crime On Armed American Radio: To Discuss the Effectiveness of Gun Control Measures
On Armed American Radio: To Discuss Fort Stewart Shooting
On Oklahoma’s KQOB 96.9 FM: Discussing the Active Shooting Attack in New York City
On KMZQ 670 AM’s Kevin Wall Radio: To Discuss Mass Public Shootings
On The Vicki McKenna Show: To Discuss Trump’s Tariffs
On KNRS’s The Rod & Greg Show: To Discuss Tariffs .
Media Coverage
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Again Tweets Out Our Work
Karoline Leavitt Retweeted One of Our Opinion Piece on Trump Federalizing DC’s Police Force
CPRC in the News: NewsMax, Washington Examiner, OutKick, Washington Stand, SRN News, Western Journalism, Bearing Arms, and More .
Amicus Brief
Amicus Brief for the Supreme Court, Petition for Writ of Certiorari in Antonyuk, et al v James, that deals with Gun Free Zones in New York .
Television/Movie Show Bias on Guns
Defensive gun use in a movie, THE LAST STOP IN YUMA COUNTY 2024. Memorable line: “Jesus Christ, does everyone have a gun?” .
Defensive Gun Uses
A Woman “had no other choice but to defend herself and that is why people have guns.” She was six months pregnant and had two other children in the house. She survived years of domestic abuse and defended herself against “a terrible domestic assault.”
Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 31 Cases During January 2025 .
Other Testimony
Dr. Lott’s testimony Before the Wyoming state Senate Judiciary Committee on eliminating Gun-free Zones
Testimony before the U.S. House Committee on the Judiciary on Gun Control
Other
Gun Control Groups Don’t Want Law Enforcement to Protect People at the Same Time They Don’t Want People to Protect Themselves
The D.C. Police Union says that Mayor Bowser’s Claim that the Crime-data Manipulation is Isolated to One Precinct is “Preposterous.” Trump is Justified in Auditing the D.C. Crime Data.
Washington, D.C. Keeps on Being Accused of Manipulating Crime Data by Misclassifying Crimes and Downgrading Felonies to Misdemeanors so They Won’t Show Up in the Crime Stats
Sean Charles Dunn a Department of Justice trial attorney arrested for attacking Law Enforcement. Do you think this is the type of lawyer that you want at the Department of Justice?
Likely Voters by a 3.5 to 1 Rate Say Requiring Voter Photo IDs are a Reasonable Measure to Protect the Integrity of Elections, Most Voters Don’t Think IDs Discriminate Against Some Voters (by 1.5 to 1 Ratio)
Trump Administration will not Prosecute People for Carrying Registered Rifles and Shotguns in D.C., DC Law “is clearly a violation of the Supreme Court’s holdings”
Sophia Bush tells Craig Ferguson Show she has a concealed handgun permit for protection
Investigation into Vote Fraud Using Mail in Ballots in a Hamtramck, MI City Council Race that was Won by Just a Few Dozen Votes
The Centers for Disease Control and Emory University are Gun-free Zones: Active Shooting Attack
Crime Prevention Research Center 358 S 700 E, Ste B, B409, Salt Lake City, UT 84102
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