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The FBI 2022 Crime data was a mistake (a drop turns into an increase), Shocking New Data on Crime by Illegal Aliens, AI Chatbots Put Out Democrat’s Narrative on Crime and Guns, and much more

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Opinion

By Dr. John R. Lott, Jr. PhD

10-05-24

A week and a half ago, the FBI released its final crime data for 2023. But the news media completely missed how the FBI had revised its “final” crime data for previous years. For a year, the media claimed that violent crime fell in 2022. Oops! What had originally been a 2.1% drop in reported violent crime turned out to be a 4.5% increase. By the way, that increase in 2022 was bigger than the claimed 3.5% drop in 2023. I have previously discussed the problems with the FBI’s measure of reported crime, but you would think that after a year of using the 2022 crime data to claim that crime was falling, someone in the media would mention they were wrong. I wrote an op-ed in the New York Post that goes through these points and explains why even these amazing numbers are an underestimate. I will make one other startling point: the FBI’s 2022 “final” crime data somehow missed the increase of 1,699 increase in murders in 2022.

An op-ed of mine was published at Real Clear Politics that discussed the shocking new crime data on illegal immigrants. But while these numbers got some attention in the conservative media, everyone missed what this implied — that 9 percent of the non-detained illegal immigrants were criminals and that the murder rate for these people was at least twice the murder rate of Americans. But I explain why even these numbers are dramatic underestimates. I also discussed this on NewsMax’s Greg Kelly Show.

Other op-eds that I wrote discussed how AI Chatbots put out Democrat narratives on crime and gun control and how the media pushes misleading crime stats to protect Democrats. This last op-ed led to radio interviews with Lars Larsona couple of interviews on D.C.’s WMAL, the Michigan Talk Network, and Washington Watch with Tony Perkins. There was also an interview by Tangle with myself and a couple of people on the left about whether violent crime has increased under the Biden administration.

I also did a number of interviews on Georgia school shooting to discuss whether the father should be held criminally liable for the son’s actions. That included WMALSan Diego’s giant 50,000-watt KCBQ, and Denver’s Chuck and Julie show.

By the way, with all the focus on the FBI’s measure murder rate, the murder rate rose by 11.23% between 2019 and 2023.

One amusing quote about me was put out by Peter Kirsanow, a commissioner on the U.S. Civil Rights Commission: “Lott has testified before the commission several times during my tenure. Of the hundreds of witnesses who’ve appeared before the commission during that time, no one has been treated with greater hostility by progressives than he. I’d long suspected that such treatment was due to his usually bringing hard data to the table — which are more difficult for progressives to refute/spin than mere opinion.”

Our research has gotten extensive news coverage over the last couple of weeks including at Fox NewsDaily CallerWashington Times, and Newsweek.

If you haven’t already seen it, please watch our new video with John Stossel, which covers our new research showing errors in the FBI’s active shooting reports.

We have updated our list of defensive gun uses by people legally carrying concealed handguns for June 2024.

We have continued compiling examples of media bias on guns. We found an old TV series on Fox’s “The Finder” which had the main character explain why he doesn’t like gun

We need your support to continue doing the work that we do. Your help is greatly appreciated. I don’t think that there is any organization with as small of a budget that regularly produces as much as we do.

We need help getting this message out. If you have friends you think might find our emails interesting, please encourage them to sign up by sending them the link here. Thank you very much.

Research

New 2023 FBI Reported Crime Data is Out, FBI Data Adjusted for Previous Years, In 2022, the FBI had Previously Shown Reported Violent Crime was down -2.1%, but Now Up 4.5%. A net change of 80,029 more violent crimes. The media refuses to Cover Data on Total Violent Crime.

FBI’s Measure of Murder shows that Murder Rate Increased by 11.23% from 2019 to 2023, an 11.63% Increase from 2018 to 2023. The Murder Rate is Still Much Higher than pre-COVID.

The Percent Changes in Violent Crime Under Biden are Statistically Significant at the better than the 0.0001% Level for a Two-tailed t-statistic

New Bureau of Justice Statistics Crime Data Just Released: Violent crime (Rape, Robbery, and Aggravated Assault) Soaring Under Biden-Harris.

Op-eds

At the New York Post: First jobs, now crime: Biden’s FBI revises 2022 violence stats for the worse

At Real Clear Politics: The New Data on Migrant Crime

At the Federalist: AI Chatbots Are Programmed To Spew Democrat Gun Control Narratives

At Real Clear Politics: Media Push Misleading Crime Stats To Protect Democrat Narrative

Recent Talks

Dr. Lott participates in Press Briefing with Hundreds of Reporters on the Border Crisis and Crime

Dr. Lott participates in Press Briefing with Over 30 Reporters on How Crime is Increasing and Law Enforcement is Collapsing

Did Crime Decline under Biden?: Talk at G.O.A.L.S. 2024 in Knoxville, TN

Television/Podcasts

On NewsMax’s Greg Kelly Reports: To Discuss Uptick in Crime Committed by Illegal Migrants

On One America News: CDC, FBI, Media Try To Debunk That Armed Citizens Prevent Crime

On One America News’ Tipping Point: To Discuss the Latest Georgia School Shooting

At Stossel TV: The FBI and Media Don’t Tell You How Many Lives Guns SAVE. Elon Musk Tweeted out the Video!

Radio interviews/Podcasts

On WMAL: Vince Coglianese mentioned CPRC’s Research on Misleading Crime Statistics

WORTH LISTENING TO: On WMAL’s Vince Coglianese Show: Crime Up under Biden & Harris

On The Michigan Talk Network: Law Enforcement Collapse Masks Rising Crime Rates

On Washington Watch with Tony Perkins: To Discuss Crime Increase under Biden-Harris Administration

On the Lars Larson Show: To Discuss Total Violent Crime Vs. Reported Violent Crime

On United Patriots Uprising with Gary Binford: To Discuss Actual Causes of America’s Crime Explosion

At Tangle: Debate Over Whether Crime is Getting Better or Worse

On Morning with Gary Byron: Discussing Guns and Crime

On The Michigan Talk Network: To Discuss Kamala Harris’ Flip-Flops

WORTH LISTENING TO: On WMAL’s Vince Coglianese Show: Discussing the Apalachee High School Shooting

On San Diego KCBQ’s The Andrea Kaye Show: To Discuss Apalachee High School Shooting in Georgia

On The Chuck And Julie Show: To Discuss GA School Shooting and the Truth about the Crime Explosion

Testimony

In Spanish: Testimony before the Ecuadorian Congress on legislation for people to carry concealed handguns

CPRC testifies in support of Tennessee’s Lifetime Order of Protection Expansion Bill

Television Show Bias on Guns

Another TV Character: “Wow, that is why I do not like guns.”

Media Coverage of the CPRC

Fox News Discusses Our Work: “Violent crimes have increased under Biden-Harris admin despite Dems’ denials: expert”

CPRC in the News: Daily Caller, Townhall, MRC NewsBusters, Fox/CBS TV Indianapolis, and much more

CPRC in the News: Washington Times, Newsweek, Red State, Akron Beacon Journal, Wyoming Tribune Eagle, and much more.

Defensive Gun Uses

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 35 Cases During June 2024

Other Testimony

Testimony before the U.S. House Committee on the Judiciary on Gun Control

Selected C-SPAN Appearances

Gun Control Myths

Washington Journal John Lott on Gun Violence in the U.S.

Other

U.S. Commission on Civil Rights Commissioner Peter Kirsanow talks about the Hostility of Progressives Towards Dr. Lott

New U.S. Commission on Civil Rights Report Extensively Cites Dr. John Lott, “Federal Efforts in Examining Racial and Ethnic Disparities Among Victims of Violent Crime”

Another Prominent Democrat Calls for Media Censorship: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Calls for Reigning in Media Misinformation

Rasmussen Reports: 68% Back Proof of Citizenship for Voting, 73% Say It is Important to Prevent Illegal Immigrants from Voting, and 63% are Even Willing to Shutdown the Government to Get a Proof of Citizenship Law Passed.

Under Kamala Harris’ Tenure as Border Czar, The Biden-Harris administration released into the U.S. 425,431 convicted criminals, 13,099 murderers

H

John R. Lott, Jr.

Crime Prevention Research Center

P.O. Box 2293, 1100 W Kent Ave, Missoula, MT 59801
http://crimeresearch.org
[email protected]
(484) 802-5373


The views expressed in this commentary are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official position of Citizens Journal Florida

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