Latest Tropical Storm Warning

News

By George Miller, 9-27-22

Frankly, we are confused by all the conflicting weather forecasts this week. One late Tuesday local weather forecast predicted 22 mph winds Thursday. Others predicted 35-70 MPH- or even knot- winds in FB.

Storm surge estimates ranged from 2-6 feet, on top of a 7.5 ft tide.

One thing most agreed on is that there will be LOTS of rain: 8-15 inches, meaning flooding.

Here’s one tropical storm warning:

https://weather.com/weather/alerts/localalerts/l/eb6449f2981f9bc852ba440a9c4e008fc9937079aac0bec122d1ea0e4a99360f?phenomena=TR&significance=W&areaid=FLZ124&office=KJAX&etn=1009

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/hurricane-ian-to-make-landfall-in-florida-as-major-hurricane/1253655

One that’s likely understated:

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/Fernandina+Beach+FL?canonicalCityId=e2b080b1185d1ed5dddf546006ca29ba4c56243763a9fe5bc3ba12868343bad9

Here’s the newest storm “cone” prediction we had as of publication time (source):

Wind: https://weather.com/safety/hurricane/news/2022-09-26-hurricane-ian-florida-tampa

Storm surge:

Wind